POLITICAL SPENDING POISED TO SET RECORDS
Analysts project even more record-breaking sums of political spending as the presidential races begin.
According to Victor Miller, senior managing director, Bear Stearns, there is 20% more political money in all TV in the 2007-08 cycle then existed in the 2005-06 campaigns.
"We're seeing about $2.5 billion for all TV political versus $2.1 billion," Miller remarked during today's TVB "Political: Probing the Mother Lode" panel.
"2007 state and local political spending is driving first- and second-quarter earnings in local broadcast," added Evan Tracey, COO, Campaign Media Analysis Group, TNS Media Intelligence.
"Political continues to be a growing part of the pie for local TV," Tracy added. "We just had a State Supreme Court race in Wisconsin that generated over $2 million in TV ad spending."
According to Tracey, broadcast is still the biggest megaphone, but cable is making deeper in-roads, "especially since politicians like to advertise on news shows and cable has 24/7 news."
The calendar, not the candidates, looms as a larger threat, however, to growing political revenues. A growing number of states are moving their primaries to the Feb. 5 Super Tuesday date, with only Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevade and South Carolina earlier (in January).
Mark Halperin, ABC News political analyst, commented: "I'm not overly optimistic that candidates are going to want to spend outside those early primaries."
Indeed, according to Tracey, several of those January primary states are considering December 2007 dates.
Copyright 2007 TV Newsday, Inc. All rights reserved.
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